Jianning Wang, Robert Ślepaczuk, Paweł Sakowski · 2026 · arXiv (Cornell University)
DOI: 10.48550/arxiv.2610.13126 · cited by 0 works (OpenAlex) · open-access PDF
This paper studies exit timing for SPX short-straddle portfolios using a two-stage supervised and reinforcement-learning framework. Historical episodes first generate ex-post optimal hold/exit labels for training a multilayer perceptron (MLP) using only contemporaneously available state variables at deployment. The trained MLP then initializes reinforcement-learning actors that are fine-tuned with a risk-aware trading reward. Out-of-sample evaluation over 2024-2026 shows that the supervised MLP substantially outperforms passive holding and representative fixed-time and profit-and-loss-based exit rules. Across seven independent seeds, MLP-initialized Actor-Critic averages 37.54% cumulative return and a Sharpe ratio of 1.705, compared with 35.01% and 1.651 for the supervised MLP. Actor-Critic trained from scratch averages only 0.18% return. These findings show that oracle-guided supervised learning provides a stable foundation for reward-based policy fine-tuning in a sparse and path-dependent option-exit problem.
Read in: English · Spanish · Chinese · Hindi · Arabic · Portuguese · French · German · Japanese · Russian · Korean · Indonesian · Vietnamese
Topics: Sharpe ratio, Artificial intelligence, Computer science, Machine learning, Reinforcement learning, Supervised learning
GET https://store.agentexchange.work/gw/papers/verify?title=...&year=... (0.003 USD), fetch this record as JSON with /gw/papers/paper?id=2610.13126, or list what it cites with /gw/papers/references?id=.... Pay per call in USDC (x402) or with a 19 USD card key for 1,000 calls. Catalogue · llms.txtSources: OpenAlex (CC0), arXiv, Crossref. Agent Exchange