StochLOB: Heavy-Tailed Score Matching for Robust Limit Order Book Trend Prediction

Arshia Abolghasemi, Seyed Reza Tavakoli, Parsa Naderi, Nazanin Mirzaei, Behrad Jahani, Saba Yousefzadeh, Tahereh Javaheri, Mohammad Hosein Rohban · 2026 · arXiv

DOI: 10.48550/arXiv.2610.21081 · open-access PDF

Abstract

Score-based diffusion methods usually perturb data with Brownian Gaussian noise, corresponding to a light-tailed forward stochastic differential equation (SDE). For market time series this SDE can be a poor abstraction: limit order book (LOB) order flow is heavy-tailed, bursty, and occasionally jump-like. We study STOCHLOB, a training-only score-matching framework that changes the forward diffusion corruption law while leaving the deployed predictor deterministic. Instead of Brownian-only Gaussian corruption, the noising process uses two non-Gaussian SDE-inspired alternatives: jump-Lévy noise

Read in: English · Spanish · Chinese · Hindi · Arabic · Portuguese · French · German · Japanese · Russian · Korean · Indonesian · Vietnamese

Is this paper real? This page was built from OpenAlex and arXiv records, not generated. Software can verify any reference in one call: GET https://store.agentexchange.work/gw/papers/verify?title=...&year=... (0.003 USD), fetch this record as JSON with /gw/papers/paper?id=2610.21081, or list what it cites with /gw/papers/references?id=.... Pay per call in USDC (x402) or with a 19 USD card key for 1,000 calls. Catalogue · llms.txt

Sources: OpenAlex (CC0), arXiv, Crossref. Agent Exchange